Spurs vs Clippers prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 2
At a glance
The LA Clippers (1-3) host the San Antonio Spurs (3-2) on Tuesday, February 2 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Spurs a 66% chance to win and projects a 114-109 score (Spurs – Clippers), about 223 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the Spurs are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 3-2 for the Spurs (current streaks: Clippers L3, Spurs W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Spurs played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Tobias Harris (Spurs), Jayden Quaintance (Spurs), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers) and Bradley Beal (Clippers)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Clippers 109 – 114 Spurs, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The Spurs will be without Tobias Harris or Jayden Quaintance. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs +6.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SALAC
Players to watch
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #125.0pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #47.0assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #111.4reboundsClippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsRecent form
SA
116-104L
114-110W
122-106W
130-103W
117-111 OTLAC
122-110W121-96L
125-117L108-101L103-87Head-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
LAC
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| SA | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 1-3 |
| 118.9 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 111.1 | Points allowed / game | 111.5 |
| +6.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| W3 | Current streak | L3 |
| 3-2 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 62-20 (+8.3) | Last season | 42-40 (+1.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.