Clippers vs Spurs prediction NBA · Thursday, November 19
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (3-2) host the LA Clippers (1-3) on Thursday, November 19 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Spurs a 82% chance to win and projects a 106-118 score (Clippers – Spurs), about 224 total points. This season, the Spurs are 1-2 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Spurs and 1-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: Spurs W3, Clippers L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 21% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers), Jordan Miller (Clippers) and Tobias Harris (Spurs)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Spurs start with a clear edge. The model projects Spurs 118 – 106 Clippers, a margin of about 11.2 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs will be without Tobias Harris or Jayden Quaintance. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+6.6 vs +0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACSA
Players to watch
Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #125.0pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #47.0assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #111.4reboundsRecent form
LAC
122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87SA116-104L
114-110W
122-106W130-103W
117-111 OTHead-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
LAC
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| LAC | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 3-2 |
| 112.0 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 111.5 | Points allowed / game | 111.1 |
| +0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.6 |
| L3 | Current streak | W3 |
| 1-3 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 42-40 (+1.1) | Last season | 62-20 (+8.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.