Cavaliers vs Jazz prediction NBA · Monday, February 1
At a glance
The Utah Jazz (1-4) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (3-1) on Monday, February 1 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Cavaliers a 79% chance to win and projects a 123-113 score (Cavaliers – Jazz), about 236 total points. This season, the Jazz are 1-3 at home and the Cavaliers are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Jazz and 3-1 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Jazz L3, Cavaliers W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 23% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jaren Jackson Jr. (Jazz), Trey Alexander (Jazz) and Jusuf Nurkic (Jazz). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Jazz 113 – 123 Cavaliers, a margin of about 10.1 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz will be without Jaren Jackson Jr. or Trey Alexander (and 1 other). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-7.0 vs +3.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEUTAH
Players to watch
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4524.8pts / game
James HardenG · #16.8assists
Evan MobleyC · #410.0reboundsJazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #324.4pts / gameKeyonte GeorgeG · #36.8assists
Ace BaileyG · #198.0reboundsRecent form
CLE
132-116L
114-106W
125-121W
127-125 OTW
121-111UTAH
123-103W
120-119L
132-123L110-105L
117-111 OT
UTAH
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| CLE | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 1-4 |
| 119.6 | Points scored / game | 116.1 |
| 116.0 | Points allowed / game | 124.3 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.0 |
| W3 | Current streak | L3 |
| 3-1 | Last 10 games | 1-4 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 52-30 (+4.1) | Last season | 22-60 (-8.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Jazz
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.