Pelicans vs 76ers prediction NBA · Monday, February 1
At a glance
The Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) host the New Orleans Pelicans (0-4) on Monday, February 1 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the 76ers a 68% chance to win and projects a 112-118 score (Pelicans – 76ers), about 229 total points. This season, the 76ers are 2-1 at home and the Pelicans are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the 76ers and 0-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: 76ers W1, Pelicans L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Dejounte Murray (Pelicans), Jordan Poole (Pelicans), Yves Missi (Pelicans), Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers) and Dominick Barlow (76ers)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The 76ers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects 76ers 118 – 112 Pelicans, a margin of about 5.9 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray or Jordan Poole (and 1 other). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+0.7 vs -4.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOPHI
Players to watch
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #121.8pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #56.0assists
Derik QueenC · #229.2rebounds76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0reboundsRecent form
NO
107-106L
123-120L
120-119L
141-135 OTL104-91PHI
106-100W
114-106W
127-116L
106-93W114-109
PHI
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| NO | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 4-1 |
| 115.7 | Points scored / game | 114.4 |
| 120.5 | Points allowed / game | 113.5 |
| -4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.7 |
| L4 | Current streak | W1 |
| 0-4 | Last 10 games | 4-1 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 26-56 (-4.5) | Last season | 45-37 (-0.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report 76ers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.