Wizards vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 26
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) host the Washington Wizards (2-3) on Tuesday, January 26 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 87% chance to win and projects a 109-123 score (Wizards – Trail Blazers), about 232 total points. This season, the Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home and the Wizards are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for the Trail Blazers and 2-3 for the Wizards (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, Wizards L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 17% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Justin Champagnie (Wizards), Tristan Vukcevic (Wizards), Jamir Watkins (Wizards), Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers) and Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Trail Blazers start with a clear edge. The model projects Trail Blazers 123 – 109 Wizards, a margin of about 13.9 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. The Wizards will be without Justin Champagnie or Tristan Vukcevic (and 1 other). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+3.0 vs -7.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHPOR
Players to watch
Wizards
Anthony DavisF · #2321.8pts / game
Trae YoungG · #310.4assistsAnthony DavisF · #238.4reboundsTrail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsRecent form
WSH
128-116L
112-102W
124-120L
110-103L
121-111POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129
POR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| WSH | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 3-0 |
| 113.1 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 122.2 | Points allowed / game | 114.7 |
| -7.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| L2 | Current streak | W3 |
| 2-3 | Last 10 games | 3-0 |
| 1-2 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 17-65 (-12.0) | Last season | 42-40 (-0.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.