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Clippers vs 76ers prediction NBA · Monday, January 25

Mon, Jan 25 · 7:00 PM ETXfinity Mobile Arena · KTLA, ClipperVision
35% win LACwin PHI 65%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin4.8
Projected total221
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) host the LA Clippers (1-3) on Monday, January 25 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the 76ers a 65% chance to win and projects a 108-113 score (Clippers – 76ers), about 221 total points. This season, the 76ers are 2-1 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the 76ers and 1-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: 76ers W1, Clippers L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Clippers played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers), Jordan Miller (Clippers) and Jabari Walker (76ers)…. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the 76ers, but the Clippers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects 76ers 113 – 108 Clippers, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 221 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI +0.7 / LAC +0.4 per game
+0.3
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backClippers played yesterday
+1.6
InjuriesPHI: 4 out, 1 questionable · LAC: 5 out, 1 questionable
+0.5
Expected marginfor 76ers
+4.8

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Clippers win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

LACPHI
112.0
Points scored / game
114.4
111.5
Points allowed / game
113.5
45.9 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
39.0 %
3-point %
32.6 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
78.6 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
42.2
25.0
Assists / game
24.6
12.5
Steals / game
9.8
4.5
Blocks / game
5.6
23.0
Turnovers / game
12.6

Players to watch

Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
WDEN122-110WSAC121-96LLAL125-117LOKC108-101LLAL103-87
PHI
WNY106-100WCLE114-106WMIL127-116LDET106-93WIND114-109

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
LAC 35% · PHI 65%
ESPN BPI
LAC 21% · PHI 79%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

LACPHI
1-3Record4-1
112.0Points scored / game114.4
111.5Points allowed / game113.5
+0.4Adjusted margin / game+0.7
L3Current streakW1
1-3Last 10 games4-1
0-2 roadHome / road record2-1 home
42-40 (+1.1)Last season45-37 (-0.2)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

Yanic Konan Niederhauser COut
Max Strus GOut
Brandon Ingram FOut
Bradley Beal GOut
Jordan Miller GOut
Rui Hachimura FDay-To-Day

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

Jabari Walker FOut
Tacko Fall COut
Dominick Barlow FOut
Ariel Hukporti COut
Jaylen Brown GDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.