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76ers vs Clippers prediction NBA · Sunday, December 27

Sun, Dec 27 · 9:00 PM ETIntuit Dome · ClipperVision
51% win PHIwin LAC 49%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin0.2
Projected total221
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (1-3) host the Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) on Sunday, December 27 at 9:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the 76ers a 51% chance to win and projects a 111-110 score (76ers – Clippers), about 221 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the 76ers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 4-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Clippers L3, 76ers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Clippers played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers), Ariel Hukporti (76ers), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers) and Max Strus (Clippers)…. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Clippers 110 – 111 76ers, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 221 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.4 / PHI +0.7 per game
-0.3
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backClippers played yesterday
-1.6
InjuriesLAC: 5 out, 1 questionable · PHI: 4 out, 1 questionable
-0.5
Expected marginfor Clippers
-0.2

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
76ers win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

PHILAC
114.4
Points scored / game
112.0
113.5
Points allowed / game
111.5
42.8 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
32.6 %
3-point %
39.0 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
77.5 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
40.8
24.6
Assists / game
25.0
9.8
Steals / game
12.5
5.6
Blocks / game
4.5
12.6
Turnovers / game
23.0

Players to watch

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds
Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
WNY106-100WCLE114-106WMIL127-116LDET106-93WIND114-109
LAC
WDEN122-110WSAC121-96LLAL125-117LOKC108-101LLAL103-87

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
PHI 51% · LAC 49%
ESPN BPI
PHI 71% · LAC 29%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

PHILAC
4-1Record1-3
114.4Points scored / game112.0
113.5Points allowed / game111.5
+0.7Adjusted margin / game+0.4
W1Current streakL3
4-1Last 10 games1-3
2-0 roadHome / road record1-1 home
45-37 (-0.2)Last season42-40 (+1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

Jabari Walker FOut
Tacko Fall COut
Dominick Barlow FOut
Ariel Hukporti COut
Jaylen Brown GDay-To-Day

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

Yanic Konan Niederhauser COut
Max Strus GOut
Brandon Ingram FOut
Bradley Beal GOut
Jordan Miller GOut
Rui Hachimura FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.