Trail Blazers vs Spurs prediction NBA · Sunday, January 24
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (3-2) host the Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) on Sunday, January 24 at 3:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Spurs a 69% chance to win and projects a 112-118 score (Trail Blazers – Spurs), about 230 total points. This season, the Spurs are 1-2 at home and the Trail Blazers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Spurs and 3-0 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Spurs W3, Trail Blazers W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers), Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers), Tobias Harris (Spurs) and Jayden Quaintance (Spurs). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Spurs 118 – 112 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs will be without Tobias Harris or Jayden Quaintance. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORSA
Players to watch
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #125.0pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #47.0assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #111.4reboundsRecent form
POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129SA
116-104L
114-110W
122-106W130-103W
117-111 OTHead-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
SA
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| POR | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 3-2 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 111.1 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.6 |
| W3 | Current streak | W3 |
| 3-0 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 42-40 (-0.3) | Last season | 62-20 (+8.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.