Spurs vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 25
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) host the San Antonio Spurs (3-2) on Wednesday, November 25 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Spurs a 55% chance to win and projects a 116-114 score (Spurs – Trail Blazers), about 230 total points. This season, the Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home and the Spurs are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for the Trail Blazers and 3-2 for the Spurs (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, Spurs W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Tobias Harris (Spurs), Jayden Quaintance (Spurs), Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers) and Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers). Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Trail Blazers 114 – 116 Spurs, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. The Spurs will be without Tobias Harris or Jayden Quaintance. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAPOR
Players to watch
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #125.0pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #47.0assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #111.4reboundsTrail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsRecent form
SA
116-104L
114-110W
122-106W
130-103W
117-111 OTPOR110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129Head-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
SA
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| SA | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 3-0 |
| 118.9 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 111.1 | Points allowed / game | 114.7 |
| +6.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| W3 | Current streak | W3 |
| 3-2 | Last 10 games | 3-0 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 62-20 (+8.3) | Last season | 42-40 (-0.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.