Login
Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

76ers vs Bulls prediction NBA · Saturday, January 23

Sat, Jan 23 · 5:00 PM ETUnited Center · NBA TV
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
4-1 · away
Projected score
118-114
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
1-4 · home
63% win PHIwin CHI 37%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin4.2
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (1-4) host the Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) on Saturday, January 23 at 5:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the 76ers a 63% chance to win and projects a 118-114 score (76ers – Bulls), about 231 total points. This season, the Bulls are 0-2 at home and the 76ers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Bulls and 4-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Bulls L3, 76ers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers), Ariel Hukporti (76ers), Patrick Williams (Bulls) and Nic Claxton (Bulls). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

The 76ers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 114 – 118 76ers, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others).

  • The overall strength gap (-7.2 vs +0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -7.2 / PHI +0.7 per game
-7.9
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
InjuriesCHI: 2 out, 2 questionable · PHI: 4 out, 1 questionable
+1.5
Expected marginfor Bulls
-4.2

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
13%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
76ers win by 10+
32%

Stat comparison Current season

PHICHI
114.4
Points scored / game
115.6
113.5
Points allowed / game
124.1
42.8 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
32.6 %
3-point %
27.6 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
77.5 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
44.8
24.6
Assists / game
24.4
9.8
Steals / game
9.0
5.6
Blocks / game
4.8
12.6
Turnovers / game
17.8

Players to watch

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds
Bulls
Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists
Jalen SmithF · #258.2rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
WNY106-100WCLE114-106WMIL127-116LDET106-93WIND114-109
CHI
LTOR135-92WMIL132-125LWSH124-120LBOS134-99LNY133-127

Head-to-head

4 meetings scheduled this season.

Nov 2CHIupcomingPHINov 8PHIupcomingCHIJan 23PHIthis gameCHIMar 17CHIupcomingPHI

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
PHI 63% · CHI 37%
ESPN BPI
PHI 75% · CHI 25%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

PHICHI
4-1Record1-4
114.4Points scored / game115.6
113.5Points allowed / game124.1
+0.7Adjusted margin / game-7.2
W1Current streakL3
4-1Last 10 games1-4
2-0 roadHome / road record0-2 home
45-37 (-0.2)Last season31-51 (-5.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

Jabari Walker FOut
Tacko Fall COut
Dominick Barlow FOut
Ariel Hukporti COut
Jaylen Brown GDay-To-Day

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

Patrick Williams FOut
Nic Claxton COut
Jalen Smith FDay-To-Day
Tobe Awaka FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.