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Bulls vs 76ers prediction NBA · Monday, November 2

Mon, Nov 2 · 7:30 PM ETXfinity Mobile Arena · NBA League Pass
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
1-4 · away
Projected score
111-120
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
4-1 · home
24% win CHIwin PHI 76%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin8.8
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) host the Chicago Bulls (1-4) on Monday, November 2 at 7:30 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the 76ers a 76% chance to win and projects a 111-120 score (Bulls – 76ers), about 231 total points. This season, the 76ers are 2-1 at home and the Bulls are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the 76ers and 1-4 for the Bulls (current streaks: 76ers W1, Bulls L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 25% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Patrick Williams (Bulls), Nic Claxton (Bulls), Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers) and Ariel Hukporti (76ers). Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

The 76ers start with a clear edge. The model projects 76ers 120 – 111 Bulls, a margin of about 8.8 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.7 vs -7.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI +0.7 / CHI -7.2 per game
+7.9
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
InjuriesPHI: 4 out, 1 questionable · CHI: 2 out, 2 questionable
-1.5
Expected marginfor 76ers
+8.8

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
46%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Bulls win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIPHI
115.6
Points scored / game
114.4
124.1
Points allowed / game
113.5
42.1 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
27.6 %
3-point %
32.6 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
78.6 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
42.2
24.4
Assists / game
24.6
9.0
Steals / game
9.8
4.8
Blocks / game
5.6
17.8
Turnovers / game
12.6

Players to watch

Bulls
Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists
Jalen SmithF · #258.2rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
LTOR135-92WMIL132-125LWSH124-120LBOS134-99LNY133-127
PHI
WNY106-100WCLE114-106WMIL127-116LDET106-93WIND114-109

Head-to-head

4 meetings scheduled this season.

Nov 2CHIthis gamePHINov 8PHIupcomingCHIJan 23PHIupcomingCHIMar 17CHIupcomingPHI

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
CHI 24% · PHI 76%
ESPN BPI
CHI 18% · PHI 82%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

CHIPHI
1-4Record4-1
115.6Points scored / game114.4
124.1Points allowed / game113.5
-7.2Adjusted margin / game+0.7
L3Current streakW1
1-4Last 10 games4-1
1-2 roadHome / road record2-1 home
31-51 (-5.2)Last season45-37 (-0.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

Patrick Williams FOut
Nic Claxton COut
Jalen Smith FDay-To-Day
Tobe Awaka FDay-To-Day

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

Jabari Walker FOut
Tacko Fall COut
Dominick Barlow FOut
Ariel Hukporti COut
Jaylen Brown GDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.