Wizards vs Clippers prediction NBA · Friday, January 22
At a glance
The LA Clippers (1-3) host the Washington Wizards (2-3) on Friday, January 22 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Clippers a 80% chance to win and projects a 107-118 score (Wizards – Clippers), about 225 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the Wizards are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 2-3 for the Wizards (current streaks: Clippers L3, Wizards L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 22% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Wizards played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Justin Champagnie (Wizards), Tristan Vukcevic (Wizards), Jamir Watkins (Wizards), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers) and Brandon Ingram (Clippers)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
On paper, the Clippers dominate this matchup. The model projects Clippers 118 – 107 Wizards, a margin of about 10.6 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Wizards played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The Wizards will be without Justin Champagnie or Tristan Vukcevic (and 1 other). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs -7.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHLAC
Players to watch
Wizards
Anthony DavisF · #2321.8pts / game
Trae YoungG · #310.4assistsAnthony DavisF · #238.4reboundsClippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsRecent form
WSH
128-116L
112-102W
124-120L
110-103L
121-111LAC
122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87
LAC
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| WSH | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 1-3 |
| 113.1 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 122.2 | Points allowed / game | 111.5 |
| -7.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| L2 | Current streak | L3 |
| 2-3 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 1-2 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 17-65 (-12.0) | Last season | 42-40 (+1.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.