Trail Blazers vs Hawks prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 20
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (2-3) host the Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) on Wednesday, January 20 at 7:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Hawks a 62% chance to win and projects a 113-117 score (Trail Blazers – Hawks), about 231 total points. This season, the Hawks are 0-2 at home and the Trail Blazers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Hawks and 3-0 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Hawks L3, Trail Blazers W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Trail Blazers played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers), Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers), Mouhamed Gueye (Hawks) and Henri Veesaar (Hawks). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Hawks, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hawks 117 – 113 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 4.0 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Hawks will be without Mouhamed Gueye or Henri Veesaar. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORATL
Players to watch
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsHawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #719.6pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #18.8assistsJalen JohnsonF · #19.6reboundsRecent form
POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129ATL
132-125W
128-81L
121-114L120-110L
129-117
ATL
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| POR | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 2-3 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 119.0 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 115.8 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.7 |
| W3 | Current streak | L3 |
| 3-0 | Last 10 games | 2-3 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 42-40 (-0.3) | Last season | 46-36 (+2.4) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.