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Nets vs 76ers prediction NBA · Thursday, January 14

Thu, Jan 14 · 7:00 PM ETXfinity Mobile Arena · DAZN (YES)

Brooklyn Nets

0-4 · away

Projected score

108-117

Philadelphia 76ers

4-1 · home

23% win BKNwin PHI 77%

FavoritePHI

Projected margin9.3

Projected total225

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) host the Brooklyn Nets (0-4) on Thursday, January 14 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the 76ers a 77% chance to win and projects a 108-117 score (Nets – 76ers), about 225 total points. This season, the 76ers are 2-1 at home and the Nets are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the 76ers and 0-4 for the Nets (current streaks: 76ers W1, Nets L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 24% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Egor Demin (Nets), Tyler Bilodeau (Nets), Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers) and Ariel Hukporti (76ers). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

The 76ers start with a clear edge. The model projects 76ers 117 – 108 Nets, a margin of about 9.3 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). The Nets will be without Egor Demin or Tyler Bilodeau. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (+0.7 vs -8.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The 76ers' offense (114.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers

Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI +0.7 / BKN -8.4 per game

+9.2

Home-court advantage76ers at home

+2.3

InjuriesPHI: 4 out, 1 questionable · BKN: 2 out, 0 questionable

-2.2

Expected marginfor 76ers

+9.3

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+

48%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

24%

Nets win by 10+

Stat comparison Current season

BKNPHI

108.0

Points scored / game

114.4

117.9

Points allowed / game

113.5

42.9 %

Field goal %

42.8 %

36.7 %

3-point %

32.6 %

42.3

3-pointers attempted / game

35.0

76.6 %

Free throw %

77.5 %

43.5

Rebounds / game

42.2

24.0

Assists / game

24.6

10.0

Steals / game

9.8

4.0

Blocks / game

5.6

17.5

Turnovers / game

12.6

Players to watch

Nets

Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722.8pts / game

Julius RandleF · #305.8assists

Julius RandleF · #307.5rebounds

76ers

Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game

LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists

Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

BKN

L144-128L110-103L125-121L136-109L125-124 OT

PHI

106-100W

114-106W

127-116L

106-93W

114-109

Head-to-head

4 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

BKN 23% · PHI 77%

ESPN BPI

BKN 17% · PHI 83%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

BKN		PHI
0-4	Record	4-1
108.0	Points scored / game	114.4
117.9	Points allowed / game	113.5
-8.4	Adjusted margin / game	+0.7
L4	Current streak	W1
0-4	Last 10 games	4-1
0-2 road	Home / road record	2-1 home
20-62 (-10.0)	Last season	45-37 (-0.2)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Nets

Egor Demin GOut

Tyler Bilodeau FOut

Injury report 76ers

Jabari Walker FOut

Tacko Fall COut

Dominick Barlow FOut

Ariel Hukporti COut

Jaylen Brown GDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.