Match analysis Today's games NBA standings EuroLeague Track record

76ers vs Nets prediction NBA · Monday, November 16

Mon, Nov 16 · 7:30 PM ETBarclays Center · DAZN (YES)

Philadelphia 76ers

4-1 · away

Projected score

113-110

Brooklyn Nets

0-4 · home

60% win PHIwin BKN 40%

FavoritePHI

Projected margin3.1

Projected total223

ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (0-4) host the Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) on Monday, November 16 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the 76ers a 60% chance to win and projects a 113-110 score (76ers – Nets), about 223 total points. This season, the Nets are 0-2 at home and the 76ers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-4 for the Nets and 4-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Nets L4, 76ers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the 76ers played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers), Ariel Hukporti (76ers), Egor Demin (Nets) and Tyler Bilodeau (Nets). Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the 76ers, but the Nets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nets 110 – 113 76ers, a margin of about 3.1 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Nets will be without Egor Demin or Tyler Bilodeau. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (-8.4 vs +0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The 76ers' offense (114.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets

Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -8.4 / PHI +0.7 per game

-9.2

Home-court advantageNets at home

+2.3

Back-to-back76ers played yesterday

+1.6

InjuriesBKN: 2 out, 0 questionable · PHI: 4 out, 1 questionable

+2.2

Expected marginfor Nets

-3.1

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+

15%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

30%

76ers win by 10+

29%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIBKN

114.4

Points scored / game

108.0

113.5

Points allowed / game

117.9

42.8 %

Field goal %

42.9 %

32.6 %

3-point %

36.7 %

35.0

3-pointers attempted / game

42.3

77.5 %

Free throw %

76.6 %

42.2

Rebounds / game

43.5

24.6

Assists / game

24.0

9.8

Steals / game

10.0

5.6

Blocks / game

4.0

12.6

Turnovers / game

17.5

Players to watch

76ers

Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game

LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists

Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds

Nets

Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722.8pts / game

Julius RandleF · #305.8assists

Julius RandleF · #307.5rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

PHI

106-100W

114-106W

127-116L

106-93W

114-109

BKN

L144-128L110-103L125-121L136-109L125-124 OT

Head-to-head

4 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

PHI 60% · BKN 40%

ESPN BPI

PHI 75% · BKN 25%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

PHI		BKN
4-1	Record	0-4
114.4	Points scored / game	108.0
113.5	Points allowed / game	117.9
+0.7	Adjusted margin / game	-8.4
W1	Current streak	L4
4-1	Last 10 games	0-4
2-0 road	Home / road record	0-2 home
45-37 (-0.2)	Last season	20-62 (-10.0)
Yes	Played yesterday	No

Injury report 76ers

Jabari Walker FOut

Tacko Fall COut

Dominick Barlow FOut

Ariel Hukporti COut

Jaylen Brown GDay-To-Day

Injury report Nets

Egor Demin GOut

Tyler Bilodeau FOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.