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Bulls vs Jazz prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 12

Tue, Jan 12 · 9:00 PM ETDelta Center · KJZZ-TV, Jazz+

Chicago Bulls

1-4 · away

Projected score

118-120

Utah Jazz

1-4 · home

44% win CHIwin UTAH 56%

FavoriteUTAH

Projected margin1.9

Projected total238

ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (1-4) host the Chicago Bulls (1-4) on Tuesday, January 12 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Jazz a 56% chance to win and projects a 118-120 score (Bulls – Jazz), about 238 total points. This season, the Jazz are 1-3 at home and the Bulls are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Jazz and 1-4 for the Bulls (current streaks: Jazz L3, Bulls L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Patrick Williams (Bulls), Nic Claxton (Bulls), Jaren Jackson Jr. (Jazz), Trey Alexander (Jazz) and Jusuf Nurkic (Jazz). Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Jazz 120 – 118 Bulls, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of the Jazz and a total around 238 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz will be without Jaren Jackson Jr. or Trey Alexander (and 1 other). The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton.

The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz

Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -7.0 / CHI -7.2 per game

+0.2

Home-court advantageJazz at home

+2.3

InjuriesUTAH: 3 out, 1 questionable · CHI: 2 out, 2 questionable

-0.6

Expected marginfor Jazz

+1.9

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+

26%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

31%

Bulls win by 10+

17%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIUTAH

115.6

Points scored / game

116.1

124.1

Points allowed / game

124.3

42.1 %

Field goal %

45.4 %

27.6 %

3-point %

33.9 %

42.0

3-pointers attempted / game

34.8

78.6 %

Free throw %

76.6 %

44.8

Rebounds / game

46.8

24.4

Assists / game

26.8

9.0

Steals / game

5.0

4.8

Blocks / game

6.4

17.8

Turnovers / game

17.0

Players to watch

Bulls

Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game

Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists

Jalen SmithF · #258.2rebounds

Jazz

Keyonte GeorgeG · #324.4pts / game

Keyonte GeorgeG · #36.8assists

Ace BaileyG · #198.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

CHI

135-92W

132-125L

124-120L

134-99L

133-127

UTAH

123-103W

120-119L

132-123L

110-105L

117-111 OT

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

CHI 44% · UTAH 56%

ESPN BPI

CHI 33% · UTAH 67%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

CHI		UTAH
1-4	Record	1-4
115.6	Points scored / game	116.1
124.1	Points allowed / game	124.3
-7.2	Adjusted margin / game	-7.0
L3	Current streak	L3
1-4	Last 10 games	1-4
1-2 road	Home / road record	1-3 home
31-51 (-5.2)	Last season	22-60 (-8.4)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Bulls

Patrick Williams FOut

Nic Claxton COut

Jalen Smith FDay-To-Day

Tobe Awaka FDay-To-Day

Injury report Jazz

Jaren Jackson Jr. FOut

Trey Alexander GOut

Jusuf Nurkic COut

Lauri Markkanen FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.