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Jazz vs Bulls prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 16

Wed, Dec 16 · 8:00 PM ETUnited Center · KJZZ-TV, Jazz+

Utah Jazz

1-4 · away

Projected score

118-120

Chicago Bulls

1-4 · home

41% win UTAHwin CHI 59%

FavoriteCHI

Projected margin2.7

Projected total238

ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (1-4) host the Utah Jazz (1-4) on Wednesday, December 16 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Bulls a 59% chance to win and projects a 118-120 score (Jazz – Bulls), about 238 total points. This season, the Bulls are 0-2 at home and the Jazz are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Bulls and 1-4 for the Jazz (current streaks: Bulls L3, Jazz L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jaren Jackson Jr. (Jazz), Trey Alexander (Jazz), Jusuf Nurkic (Jazz), Patrick Williams (Bulls) and Nic Claxton (Bulls). Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

The Bulls are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 120 – 118 Jazz, a margin of about 2.7 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 238 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton. The Jazz will be without Jaren Jackson Jr. or Trey Alexander (and 1 other).

The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls

Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -7.2 / UTAH -7.0 per game

-0.2

Home-court advantageBulls at home

+2.3

InjuriesCHI: 2 out, 2 questionable · UTAH: 3 out, 1 questionable

+0.6

Expected marginfor Bulls

+2.7

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+

28%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

30%

Jazz win by 10+

16%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHCHI

116.1

Points scored / game

115.6

124.3

Points allowed / game

124.1

45.4 %

Field goal %

42.1 %

33.9 %

3-point %

27.6 %

34.8

3-pointers attempted / game

42.0

76.6 %

Free throw %

78.6 %

46.8

Rebounds / game

44.8

26.8

Assists / game

24.4

5.0

Steals / game

9.0

6.4

Blocks / game

4.8

17.0

Turnovers / game

17.8

Players to watch

Jazz

Keyonte GeorgeG · #324.4pts / game

Keyonte GeorgeG · #36.8assists

Ace BaileyG · #198.0rebounds

Bulls

Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game

Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists

Jalen SmithF · #258.2rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

UTAH

123-103W

120-119L

132-123L

110-105L

117-111 OT

CHI

135-92W

132-125L

124-120L

134-99L

133-127

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

UTAH 41% · CHI 59%

ESPN BPI

UTAH 56% · CHI 44%

⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.

Team comparison

UTAH		CHI
1-4	Record	1-4
116.1	Points scored / game	115.6
124.3	Points allowed / game	124.1
-7.0	Adjusted margin / game	-7.2
L3	Current streak	L3
1-4	Last 10 games	1-4
0-1 road	Home / road record	0-2 home
22-60 (-8.4)	Last season	31-51 (-5.2)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Jazz

Jaren Jackson Jr. FOut

Trey Alexander GOut

Jusuf Nurkic COut

Lauri Markkanen FDay-To-Day

Injury report Bulls

Patrick Williams FOut

Nic Claxton COut

Jalen Smith FDay-To-Day

Tobe Awaka FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.