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Hornets vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, January 10

Sun, Jan 10 · 9:00 PM ETGolden 1 Center · DAZN CHA

Charlotte Hornets

3-2 · away

Projected score

115-108

Sacramento Kings

0-5 · home

71% win CHAwin SAC 29%

FavoriteCHA

Projected margin7.0

Projected total223

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (0-4) host the Charlotte Hornets (3-2) on Sunday, January 10 at 9:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Hornets a 71% chance to win and projects a 115-108 score (Hornets – Kings), about 223 total points. This season, the Kings are 0-2 at home and the Hornets are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-4 for the Kings and 3-2 for the Hornets (current streaks: Kings L4, Hornets L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 27% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Hornets played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets), Kylan Boswell (Hornets), Dylan Cardwell (Kings) and Maxime Raynaud (Kings)…. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

The Hornets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Kings 108 – 115 Hornets, a margin of about 7.0 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Kings will be without Dylan Cardwell or Maxime Raynaud (and 2 others). The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (-10.1 vs +1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings

Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -10.1 / CHA +1.1 per game

-11.2

Home-court advantageKings at home

+2.3

Back-to-backHornets played yesterday

+1.6

InjuriesSAC: 4 out, 0 questionable · CHA: 4 out, 1 questionable

+0.4

Expected marginfor Kings

-7.0

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

27%

Hornets win by 10+

40%

Stat comparison Current season

CHASAC

111.6

Points scored / game

110.2

110.3

Points allowed / game

122.1

41.7 %

Field goal %

44.5 %

30.6 %

3-point %

30.0 %

43.2

3-pointers attempted / game

32.5

85.2 %

Free throw %

73.1 %

47.4

Rebounds / game

41.5

20.6

Assists / game

22.8

6.8

Steals / game

6.8

5.2

Blocks / game

2.5

19.0

Turnovers / game

14.3

Players to watch

Hornets

Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game

Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists

Moussa DiabateF · #149.4rebounds

Kings

Zach LaVineG · #827.2pts / game

Domantas SabonisF · #117.2assists

Domantas SabonisF · #1116.5rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

CHA

110-103L

128-81W

115-110W

110-103L

97-89

SAC

L121-96L128-120L123-112L130-103L132-120

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

CHA 71% · SAC 29%

ESPN BPI

CHA 71% · SAC 29%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

CHA		SAC
3-2	Record	0-4
111.6	Points scored / game	110.2
110.3	Points allowed / game	122.1
+1.1	Adjusted margin / game	-10.1
L1	Current streak	L4
3-2	Last 10 games	0-4
1-1 road	Home / road record	0-2 home
44-38 (+4.8)	Last season	22-60 (-10.0)
Yes	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Hornets

Kon Knueppel GOut

Coby White GOut

Grant Williams FOut

Kylan Boswell GOut

Dennis Schroder GDay-To-Day

Injury report Kings

Dylan Cardwell COut

Maxime Raynaud COut

Keegan Murray FOut

Ben Simmons GOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.