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Pistons vs Lakers prediction NBA · Friday, January 8

Fri, Jan 8 · 10:00 PM ETcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
4-1 · away
Projected score
113-111
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
4-1 · home
56% win DETwin LAL 44%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin2.0
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (4-1) host the Detroit Pistons (4-1) on Friday, January 8 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Pistons a 56% chance to win and projects a 113-111 score (Pistons – Lakers), about 225 total points. This season, the Lakers are 2-1 at home and the Pistons are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the Lakers and 4-1 for the Pistons (current streaks: Lakers W1, Pistons W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Lakers and the Pistons played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Jalen Duren (Pistons), Cameron Carr (Lakers) and Adou Thiero (Lakers). Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Lakers 111 – 113 Pistons, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Lakers and the Pistons played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Lakers will be without Cameron Carr or Adou Thiero. The Pistons will be without Jalen Duren.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +3.5 / DET +6.5 per game
-3.0
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
InjuriesLAL: 2 out, 2 questionable · DET: 1 out, 1 questionable
-1.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
-2.0

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

DETLAL
115.4
Points scored / game
118.4
107.8
Points allowed / game
114.3
45.9 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
37.9 %
3-point %
39.2 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
74.4 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
38.0
27.0
Assists / game
24.0
8.0
Steals / game
10.8
7.2
Blocks / game
5.8
15.6
Turnovers / game
16.6

Players to watch

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #222.6pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #27.8assists
Paul ReedF · #77.6rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7736.0pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #778.2assists
Walker KesslerC · #148.2rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
WBOS121-113WMIA128-111WPHI106-93LNY111-97WCHA97-89
LAL
WGS127-105WLAC125-117WUTAH132-123LPOR136-129WLAC103-87

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Nov 8LALupcomingDETJan 8DETthis gameLAL

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
DET 56% · LAL 44%
ESPN BPI
DET 51% · LAL 49%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

DETLAL
4-1Record4-1
115.4Points scored / game118.4
107.8Points allowed / game114.3
+6.5Adjusted margin / game+3.5
W1Current streakW1
4-1Last 10 games4-1
2-1 roadHome / road record2-1 home
60-22 (+8.2)Last season53-29 (+1.8)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

Jalen Duren COut
Isaiah Joe GDay-To-Day

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

Cameron Carr GOut
Adou Thiero FOut
Ziaire Williams FDay-To-Day
Luka Doncic GDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.