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Lakers vs Pistons prediction NBA · Sunday, November 8

Sun, Nov 8 · 6:00 PM ETLittle Caesars Arena · NBA TV, Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +

Los Angeles Lakers

4-1 · away

Projected score

110-117

Detroit Pistons

4-1 · home

30% win LALwin DET 70%

FavoriteDET

Projected margin6.6

Projected total226

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (4-1) host the Los Angeles Lakers (4-1) on Sunday, November 8 at 6:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Pistons a 70% chance to win and projects a 110-117 score (Lakers – Pistons), about 226 total points. This season, the Pistons are 2-0 at home and the Lakers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the Pistons and 4-1 for the Lakers (current streaks: Pistons W1, Lakers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 27% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Cameron Carr (Lakers), Adou Thiero (Lakers) and Jalen Duren (Pistons). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pistons 117 – 110 Lakers, a margin of about 6.6 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons will be without Jalen Duren. The Lakers will be without Cameron Carr or Adou Thiero.

The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons

Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +6.5 / LAL +3.5 per game

+3.0

Home-court advantagePistons at home

+2.3

InjuriesDET: 1 out, 1 questionable · LAL: 2 out, 2 questionable

+1.3

Expected marginfor Pistons

+6.6

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+

39%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

27%

Lakers win by 10+

Stat comparison Current season

LALDET

118.4

Points scored / game

115.4

114.3

Points allowed / game

107.8

52.9 %

Field goal %

45.9 %

39.2 %

3-point %

37.9 %

36.2

3-pointers attempted / game

36.4

79.1 %

Free throw %

74.4 %

38.0

Rebounds / game

46.8

24.0

Assists / game

27.0

10.8

Steals / game

8.0

5.8

Blocks / game

7.2

16.6

Turnovers / game

15.6

Players to watch

Lakers

Luka DoncicG · #7736.0pts / game

Luka DoncicG · #778.2assists

Walker KesslerC · #148.2rebounds

Pistons

Cade CunninghamG · #222.6pts / game

Cade CunninghamG · #27.8assists

Paul ReedF · #77.6rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

LAL

127-105W

125-117W

132-123L

136-129W

103-87

DET

121-113W

128-111W

106-93L

111-97W

97-89

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

LAL 30% · DET 70%

ESPN BPI

LAL 43% · DET 57%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

LAL		DET
4-1	Record	4-1
118.4	Points scored / game	115.4
114.3	Points allowed / game	107.8
+3.5	Adjusted margin / game	+6.5
W1	Current streak	W1
4-1	Last 10 games	4-1
2-0 road	Home / road record	2-0 home
53-29 (+1.8)	Last season	60-22 (+8.2)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Lakers

Cameron Carr GOut

Adou Thiero FOut

Ziaire Williams FDay-To-Day

Luka Doncic GDay-To-Day

Injury report Pistons

Jalen Duren COut

Isaiah Joe GDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.