Trail Blazers vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 6
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (0-4) host the Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) on Wednesday, January 6 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 66% chance to win and projects a 119-114 score (Trail Blazers – Pelicans), about 233 total points. This season, the Pelicans are 0-2 at home and the Trail Blazers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-4 for the Pelicans and 3-0 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Pelicans L4, Trail Blazers W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers), Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers), Dejounte Murray (Pelicans), Jordan Poole (Pelicans) and Yves Missi (Pelicans). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Trail Blazers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pelicans 114 – 119 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray or Jordan Poole (and 1 other). The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-4.1 vs +3.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORNO
Players to watch
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsPelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #121.8pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #56.0assists
Derik QueenC · #229.2reboundsRecent form
POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129NO
107-106L
123-120L
120-119L
141-135 OTL104-91Head-to-head
3 meetings scheduled this season.
NO
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| POR | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 0-4 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 115.7 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 120.5 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.1 |
| W3 | Current streak | L4 |
| 3-0 | Last 10 games | 0-4 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 42-40 (-0.3) | Last season | 26-56 (-4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.