Nets vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 29
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) host the Brooklyn Nets (0-4) on Tuesday, December 29 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 86% chance to win and projects a 107-121 score (Nets – Trail Blazers), about 228 total points. This season, the Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home and the Nets are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for the Trail Blazers and 0-4 for the Nets (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, Nets L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 18% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Egor Demin (Nets), Tyler Bilodeau (Nets), Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers) and Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
On paper, the Trail Blazers dominate this matchup. The model projects Trail Blazers 121 – 107 Nets, a margin of about 13.4 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. The Nets will be without Egor Demin or Tyler Bilodeau. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+3.0 vs -8.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BKNPOR
Players to watch
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722.8pts / game
Julius RandleF · #305.8assistsJulius RandleF · #307.5reboundsTrail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsRecent form
BKN
144-128L
110-103L
125-121L
136-109L
125-124 OTPOR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129
POR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| BKN | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 3-0 |
| 108.0 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 117.9 | Points allowed / game | 114.7 |
| -8.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| L4 | Current streak | W3 |
| 0-4 | Last 10 games | 3-0 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 20-62 (-10.0) | Last season | 42-40 (-0.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nets
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.