Trail Blazers vs Nets prediction NBA · Monday, December 21
At a glance
The Brooklyn Nets (0-4) host the Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) on Monday, December 21 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 80% chance to win and projects a 118-108 score (Trail Blazers – Nets), about 226 total points. This season, the Nets are 0-2 at home and the Trail Blazers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-4 for the Nets and 3-0 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Nets L4, Trail Blazers W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 22% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Nets played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers), Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers), Egor Demin (Nets) and Tyler Bilodeau (Nets). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Trail Blazers start with a clear edge. The model projects Nets 108 – 118 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 10.4 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Nets will be without Egor Demin or Tyler Bilodeau. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-8.4 vs +3.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORBKN
Players to watch
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsNets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722.8pts / game
Julius RandleF · #305.8assistsJulius RandleF · #307.5reboundsRecent form
POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129BKN
144-128L
110-103L
125-121L
136-109L
125-124 OT
POR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| POR | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 0-4 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 108.0 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 117.9 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -8.4 |
| W3 | Current streak | L4 |
| 3-0 | Last 10 games | 0-4 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 42-40 (-0.3) | Last season | 20-62 (-10.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Nets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.