Clippers vs Pacers prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 29
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (2-3) host the LA Clippers (1-3) on Tuesday, December 29 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Clippers a 59% chance to win and projects a 113-111 score (Clippers – Pacers), about 224 total points. This season, the Pacers are 0-2 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Pacers and 1-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: Pacers L2, Clippers L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers), Jordan Miller (Clippers) and Ivica Zubac (Pacers)…. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 111 – 113 Clippers, a margin of about 2.8 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pacers will be without Ivica Zubac or T.J. McConnell (and 3 others). The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-4.7 vs +0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACIND
Players to watch
Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4324.0pts / game
Tyrese HaliburtonG · #09.5assists
Ivica ZubacC · #409.0reboundsRecent form
LAC
122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87IND
123-120L
121-105W
136-109L
110-102L
114-109
IND
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.
Team comparison
| LAC | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 2-3 |
| 112.0 | Points scored / game | 113.2 |
| 111.5 | Points allowed / game | 118.8 |
| +0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.7 |
| L3 | Current streak | L2 |
| 1-3 | Last 10 games | 2-3 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 42-40 (+1.1) | Last season | 19-63 (-8.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.