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Pacers vs Clippers prediction NBA · Sunday, December 20

Sun, Dec 20 · 10:00 PM ETIntuit Dome · ClipperVision, DAZN IND

Indiana Pacers

2-3 · away

Projected score

108-116

LA Clippers

1-3 · home

28% win INDwin LAC 72%

FavoriteLAC

Projected margin7.4

Projected total224

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (1-3) host the Indiana Pacers (2-3) on Sunday, December 20 at 10:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Clippers a 72% chance to win and projects a 108-116 score (Pacers – Clippers), about 224 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the Pacers are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 2-3 for the Pacers (current streaks: Clippers L3, Pacers L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 26% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Ivica Zubac (Pacers), T.J. McConnell (Pacers), Ben Sheppard (Pacers), Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers), Johnny Furphy (Pacers) and Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers)…. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

The Clippers start with a clear edge. The model projects Clippers 116 – 108 Pacers, a margin of about 7.4 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The Pacers will be without Ivica Zubac or T.J. McConnell (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs -4.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers

Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.4 / IND -4.7 per game

+5.1

Home-court advantageClippers at home

+2.3

InjuriesLAC: 5 out, 1 questionable · IND: 5 out, 2 questionable

0.0

Expected marginfor Clippers

+7.4

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+

42%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

26%

Pacers win by 10+

Stat comparison Current season

INDLAC

113.2

Points scored / game

112.0

118.8

Points allowed / game

111.5

47.1 %

Field goal %

45.9 %

31.2 %

3-point %

39.0 %

37.8

3-pointers attempted / game

35.3

72.7 %

Free throw %

78.6 %

44.0

Rebounds / game

40.8

29.4

Assists / game

25.0

6.4

Steals / game

12.5

4.8

Blocks / game

4.5

14.8

Turnovers / game

23.0

Players to watch

Pacers

Pascal SiakamF · #4324.0pts / game

Tyrese HaliburtonG · #09.5assists

Ivica ZubacC · #409.0rebounds

Clippers

Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / game

Darius GarlandG · #106.5assists

Rui HachimuraF · #286.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

IND

123-120L

121-105W

136-109L

110-102L

114-109

LAC

122-110W

121-96L

125-117L

108-101L

103-87

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

IND 28% · LAC 72%

ESPN BPI

IND 62% · LAC 38%

⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.

Team comparison

IND		LAC
2-3	Record	1-3
113.2	Points scored / game	112.0
118.8	Points allowed / game	111.5
-4.7	Adjusted margin / game	+0.4
L2	Current streak	L3
2-3	Last 10 games	1-3
2-1 road	Home / road record	1-1 home
19-63 (-8.0)	Last season	42-40 (+1.1)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Pacers

Ivica Zubac COut

T.J. McConnell GOut

Ben Sheppard GOut

Tyrese Haliburton GOut

Johnny Furphy GOut

Andrew Nembhard GDay-To-Day

Aaron Nesmith GDay-To-Day

Injury report Clippers

Yanic Konan Niederhauser COut

Max Strus GOut

Brandon Ingram FOut

Bradley Beal GOut

Jordan Miller GOut

Rui Hachimura FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.