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Clippers vs Hornets prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 16

Wed, Dec 16 · 7:00 PM ETSpectrum Center · ClipperVision

LA Clippers

1-3 · away

Projected score

108-111

Charlotte Hornets

3-2 · home

39% win LACwin CHA 61%

FavoriteCHA

Projected margin3.5

Projected total219

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (3-2) host the LA Clippers (1-3) on Wednesday, December 16 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Hornets a 61% chance to win and projects a 108-111 score (Clippers – Hornets), about 219 total points. This season, the Hornets are 2-1 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Hornets and 1-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: Hornets L1, Clippers L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers), Jordan Miller (Clippers) and Kon Knueppel (Hornets)…. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

The Hornets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 111 – 108 Clippers, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 219 points. Expect a tighter, lower-scoring game. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets

Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA +1.1 / LAC +0.4 per game

+0.7

Home-court advantageHornets at home

+2.3

InjuriesCHA: 4 out, 1 questionable · LAC: 5 out, 1 questionable

+0.5

Expected marginfor Hornets

+3.5

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+

30%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

30%

Clippers win by 10+

14%

Stat comparison Current season

LACCHA

112.0

Points scored / game

111.6

111.5

Points allowed / game

110.3

45.9 %

Field goal %

41.7 %

39.0 %

3-point %

30.6 %

35.3

3-pointers attempted / game

43.2

78.6 %

Free throw %

85.2 %

40.8

Rebounds / game

47.4

25.0

Assists / game

20.6

12.5

Steals / game

6.8

4.5

Blocks / game

5.2

23.0

Turnovers / game

19.0

Players to watch

Clippers

Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / game

Darius GarlandG · #106.5assists

Rui HachimuraF · #286.0rebounds

Hornets

Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game

Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists

Moussa DiabateF · #149.4rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

LAC

122-110W

121-96L

125-117L

108-101L

103-87

CHA

110-103L

128-81W

115-110W

110-103L

97-89

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

LAC 39% · CHA 61%

ESPN BPI

LAC 39% · CHA 62%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

LAC		CHA
1-3	Record	3-2
112.0	Points scored / game	111.6
111.5	Points allowed / game	110.3
+0.4	Adjusted margin / game	+1.1
L3	Current streak	L1
1-3	Last 10 games	3-2
0-2 road	Home / road record	2-1 home
42-40 (+1.1)	Last season	44-38 (+4.8)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Clippers

Yanic Konan Niederhauser COut

Max Strus GOut

Brandon Ingram FOut

Bradley Beal GOut

Jordan Miller GOut

Rui Hachimura FDay-To-Day

Injury report Hornets

Kon Knueppel GOut

Coby White GOut

Grant Williams FOut

Kylan Boswell GOut

Dennis Schroder GDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.