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Hornets vs Clippers prediction NBA · Sunday, November 15

Sun, Nov 15 · 4:30 PM ETIntuit Dome · ClipperVision

Charlotte Hornets

3-2 · away

Projected score

109-110

LA Clippers

1-3 · home

47% win CHAwin LAC 53%

FavoriteLAC

Projected margin1.1

Projected total219

ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (1-3) host the Charlotte Hornets (3-2) on Sunday, November 15 at 4:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Clippers a 53% chance to win and projects a 109-110 score (Hornets – Clippers), about 219 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the Hornets are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 3-2 for the Hornets (current streaks: Clippers L3, Hornets L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets), Kylan Boswell (Hornets), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers) and Max Strus (Clippers)…. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Clippers 110 – 109 Hornets, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 219 points. Expect a tighter, lower-scoring game. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers

Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.4 / CHA +1.1 per game

-0.7

Home-court advantageClippers at home

+2.3

InjuriesLAC: 5 out, 1 questionable · CHA: 4 out, 1 questionable

-0.5

Expected marginfor Clippers

+1.1

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+

24%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

31%

Hornets win by 10+

19%

Stat comparison Current season

CHALAC

111.6

Points scored / game

112.0

110.3

Points allowed / game

111.5

41.7 %

Field goal %

45.9 %

30.6 %

3-point %

39.0 %

43.2

3-pointers attempted / game

35.3

85.2 %

Free throw %

78.6 %

47.4

Rebounds / game

40.8

20.6

Assists / game

25.0

6.8

Steals / game

12.5

5.2

Blocks / game

4.5

19.0

Turnovers / game

23.0

Players to watch

Hornets

Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game

Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists

Moussa DiabateF · #149.4rebounds

Clippers

Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / game

Darius GarlandG · #106.5assists

Rui HachimuraF · #286.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

CHA

110-103L

128-81W

115-110W

110-103L

97-89

LAC

122-110W

121-96L

125-117L

108-101L

103-87

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

CHA 47% · LAC 53%

ESPN BPI

CHA 56% · LAC 44%

⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.

Team comparison

CHA		LAC
3-2	Record	1-3
111.6	Points scored / game	112.0
110.3	Points allowed / game	111.5
+1.1	Adjusted margin / game	+0.4
L1	Current streak	L3
3-2	Last 10 games	1-3
1-1 road	Home / road record	1-1 home
44-38 (+4.8)	Last season	42-40 (+1.1)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Hornets

Kon Knueppel GOut

Coby White GOut

Grant Williams FOut

Kylan Boswell GOut

Dennis Schroder GDay-To-Day

Injury report Clippers

Yanic Konan Niederhauser COut

Max Strus GOut

Brandon Ingram FOut

Bradley Beal GOut

Jordan Miller GOut

Rui Hachimura FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.