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Grizzlies vs 76ers prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 1

Tue, Dec 1 · 7:00 PM ETXfinity Mobile Arena · DAZN MEM

Memphis Grizzlies

4-0 · away

Projected score

114-115

Philadelphia 76ers

4-1 · home

47% win MEMwin PHI 53%

FavoritePHI

Projected margin0.9

Projected total229

ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) host the Memphis Grizzlies (4-0) on Tuesday, December 1 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the 76ers a 53% chance to win and projects a 114-115 score (Grizzlies – 76ers), about 229 total points. This season, the 76ers are 2-1 at home and the Grizzlies are 3-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the 76ers and 4-0 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: 76ers W1, Grizzlies W4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jabari Walker (76ers), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers) and Ariel Hukporti (76ers). Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects 76ers 115 – 114 Grizzlies, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers will be without Jabari Walker or Tacko Fall (and 2 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers

Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI +0.7 / MEM -1.8 per game

+2.5

Home-court advantage76ers at home

+2.3

InjuriesPHI: 4 out, 1 questionable · MEM: 0 out, 0 questionable

-4.0

Expected marginfor 76ers

+0.9

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+

23%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

31%

Grizzlies win by 10+

19%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMPHI

115.2

Points scored / game

114.4

117.3

Points allowed / game

113.5

45.3 %

Field goal %

42.8 %

39.1 %

3-point %

32.6 %

37.8

3-pointers attempted / game

35.0

82.8 %

Free throw %

77.5 %

50.0

Rebounds / game

42.2

25.0

Assists / game

24.6

6.3

Steals / game

9.8

6.3

Blocks / game

5.6

15.5

Turnovers / game

12.6

Players to watch

Grizzlies

Ty JeromeG · #229.8pts / game

Ty JeromeG · #26.5assists

Cameron BoozerF · #2710.5rebounds

76ers

Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game

LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists

Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

MEM

116-98W

123-103W

111-108W

123-112W

110-105

PHI

106-100W

114-106W

127-116L

106-93W

114-109

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

MEM 47% · PHI 53%

ESPN BPI

MEM 24% · PHI 76%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

MEM		PHI
4-0	Record	4-1
115.2	Points scored / game	114.4
117.3	Points allowed / game	113.5
-1.8	Adjusted margin / game	+0.7
W4	Current streak	W1
4-0	Last 10 games	4-1
3-0 road	Home / road record	2-1 home
25-57 (-6.0)	Last season	45-37 (-0.2)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Injury report 76ers

Jabari Walker FOut

Tacko Fall COut

Dominick Barlow FOut

Ariel Hukporti COut

Jaylen Brown GDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.