Celtics vs Spurs prediction NBA · Sunday, November 29
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (3-2) host the Boston Celtics (3-1) on Sunday, November 29 at 4:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Spurs a 55% chance to win and projects a 112-114 score (Celtics – Spurs), about 226 total points. This season, the Spurs are 1-2 at home and the Celtics are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Spurs and 3-1 for the Celtics (current streaks: Spurs W3, Celtics W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Devin Carter (Celtics), Tobias Harris (Spurs) and Jayden Quaintance (Spurs). Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Spurs 114 – 112 Celtics, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs will be without Tobias Harris or Jayden Quaintance. The Celtics will be without Devin Carter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Celtics need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSSA
Players to watch
Celtics
Jayson TatumF · #028.0pts / gameJayson TatumF · #08.0assistsJayson TatumF · #06.2reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #125.0pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #47.0assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #111.4reboundsRecent form
BOS
125-120 OTL
121-113W
107-103W
134-99W
125-124 OTSA
116-104L
114-110W
122-106W
130-103W
117-111 OT
BOS
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| BOS | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 3-2 |
| 116.1 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 108.3 | Points allowed / game | 111.1 |
| +6.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.6 |
| W3 | Current streak | W3 |
| 3-1 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 56-26 (+7.7) | Last season | 62-20 (+8.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.