Trail Blazers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Saturday, November 21
At a glance
The New York Knicks (2-3) host the Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) on Saturday, November 21 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Knicks a 64% chance to win and projects a 112-116 score (Trail Blazers – Knicks), about 228 total points. This season, the Knicks are 1-2 at home and the Trail Blazers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Knicks and 3-0 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Knicks W2, Trail Blazers W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers), Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers) and Jose Alvarado (Knicks). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Knicks 116 – 112 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORNY
Players to watch
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsKnicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8reboundsRecent form
POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129NY
106-100L
107-103L
111-102W
111-97W
133-127
POR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| POR | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 2-3 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 114.5 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 110.0 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.8 |
| W3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-0 | Last 10 games | 2-3 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 42-40 (-0.3) | Last season | 53-29 (+6.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.