Cavaliers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 11
At a glance
The New York Knicks (2-3) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (3-1) on Wednesday, November 11 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Knicks a 54% chance to win and projects a 113-115 score (Cavaliers – Knicks), about 228 total points. This season, the Knicks are 1-2 at home and the Cavaliers are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Knicks and 3-1 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Knicks W2, Cavaliers W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Knicks played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Jose Alvarado (Knicks). Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Knicks 115 – 113 Cavaliers, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLENY
Players to watch
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4524.8pts / game
James HardenG · #16.8assists
Evan MobleyC · #410.0reboundsKnicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8reboundsRecent form
CLE
132-116L
114-106W
125-121W
127-125 OTW
121-111NY106-100L
107-103L111-102W
111-97W
133-127Head-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
NY
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| CLE | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 2-3 |
| 119.6 | Points scored / game | 114.5 |
| 116.0 | Points allowed / game | 110.0 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.8 |
| W3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-1 | Last 10 games | 2-3 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 52-30 (+4.1) | Last season | 53-29 (+6.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.