Raptors vs Lakers prediction NBA · Sunday, November 1
At a glance
The Los Angeles Lakers (4-1) host the Toronto Raptors (3-1) on Sunday, November 1 at 9:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Lakers a 50% chance to win and projects a 113-114 score (Raptors – Lakers), about 227 total points. This season, the Lakers are 2-1 at home and the Raptors are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the Lakers and 3-1 for the Raptors (current streaks: Lakers W1, Raptors W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Kawhi Leonard (Raptors), Nate Bittle (Raptors), Cameron Carr (Lakers) and Adou Thiero (Lakers). Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Lakers 114 – 113 Raptors, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Lakers will be without Cameron Carr or Adou Thiero. The Raptors will be without Kawhi Leonard or Nate Bittle. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORLAL
Players to watch
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #922.0pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #55.5assists
Scottie BarnesF · #47.2reboundsLakers
Luka DoncicG · #7736.0pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #778.2assists
Walker KesslerC · #148.2reboundsRecent form
TOR
129-125W
135-92W
112-102L
117-94W
129-99LAL
127-105W
125-117W
132-123L
136-129W103-87
TOR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| TOR | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 4-1 |
| 115.4 | Points scored / game | 118.4 |
| 109.5 | Points allowed / game | 114.3 |
| +5.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.5 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-1 | Last 10 games | 4-1 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 46-36 (+2.8) | Last season | 53-29 (+1.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Lakers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.