Magic vs Raptors prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 28
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (2-1) host the Orlando Magic (1-2) on Wednesday, October 28 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 99 – Raptors 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 1-0 at home and the Magic are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-1 for the Raptors and 1-2 for the Magic (current streaks: Raptors L1, Magic W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Raptors, but the Magic have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 117 – 110 Magic, a margin of about 6.6 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+3.6 vs -0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ORLTOR
Top performers
Magic
Tristan da SilvaF · #2320pts / game
Franz WagnerF · #225assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3410reboundsRaptors
Scottie BarnesF · #428pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #57assists
Trayce Jackson-DavisF · #3211reboundsRecent form
ORLTORHead-to-head
TOR lead 1-0 this season.
ORL
Team comparison
| ORL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 2-1 |
| 114.5 | Points scored / game | 114.4 |
| 115.4 | Points allowed / game | 110.2 |
| -0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 1-2 | Last 10 games | 2-1 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 45-37 (+0.6) | Last season | 46-36 (+2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Magic
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.