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Grizzlies vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, October 25

FinalGolden 1 Center · NBA League Pass, DAZN MEM
63% win MEMwin SAC 37%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin4.0
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (0-2) host the Memphis Grizzlies (2-0) on Sunday, October 25 at 9:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 123 – Kings 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 0-1 at home and the Grizzlies are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-2 for the Kings and 2-0 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Kings L2, Grizzlies W2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Grizzlies, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Kings 114 – 118 Grizzlies, a margin of about 4.0 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (-9.3 vs -3.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Grizzlies' offense (115.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -9.3 / MEM -3.0 per game
-6.3
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
-4.0

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
13%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Grizzlies win by 10+
32%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMSAC
115.0
Points scored / game
110.6
118.5
Points allowed / game
121.5
45.3 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
39.1 %
3-point %
30.0 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
82.8 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
41.5
25.0
Assists / game
22.8
6.3
Steals / game
6.8
6.3
Blocks / game
2.5
15.5
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Grizzlies
Ty JeromeG · #231pts / game
Ty JeromeG · #27assists
Cedric CowardF · #2311rebounds
Kings
Zach LaVineG · #837pts / game
Darius Acuff Jr.G · #57assists
Domantas SabonisF · #1115rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MEMSAC
2-0Record0-2
115.0Points scored / game110.6
118.5Points allowed / game121.5
-3.0Adjusted margin / game-9.3
W2Current streakL2
2-0Last 10 games0-2
1-0 roadHome / road record0-1 home
25-57 (-6.0)Last season22-60 (-10.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.