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Raptors vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Sunday, October 25

FinalTarget Center · NBA TV, DAZN MIN
43% win TORwin MIN 57%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin2.3
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (2-0) host the Toronto Raptors (2-0) on Sunday, October 25 at 7:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 94 – Timberwolves 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-0 for the Timberwolves and 2-0 for the Raptors (current streaks: Timberwolves W2, Raptors W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Timberwolves 115 – 113 Raptors, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +5.3 / TOR +5.3 per game
+0.0
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+2.3

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Raptors win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

TORMIN
115.9
Points scored / game
118.7
109.7
Points allowed / game
112.5
44.2 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
30.4 %
3-point %
38.4 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
79.0 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
51.6
27.3
Assists / game
27.0
14.3
Steals / game
9.2
5.5
Blocks / game
4.4
14.0
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Raptors
Ja'Kobe WalterG · #1422pts / game
Allen GravesF · #224assists
Collin Murray-BoylesF · #307rebounds
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #526pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
Rudy GobertC · #2713rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

MIN lead 1-0 this season.

Team comparison

TORMIN
2-0Record2-0
115.9Points scored / game118.7
109.7Points allowed / game112.5
+5.3Adjusted margin / game+5.3
W2Current streakW2
2-0Last 10 games2-0
1-0 roadHome / road record0-0 home
46-36 (+2.8)Last season49-33 (+3.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.