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Suns vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 21

FinalModa Center · NBA League Pass, Suns Live, Arizona's Family 3TV, KUNP 16, BlazerVision
47% win PHXwin POR 53%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin0.8
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers host the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday, October 21 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 83 – Trail Blazers 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 53% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Trail Blazers 114 – 113 Suns, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -0.2 / PHX +1.2 per game
-1.5
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+0.8

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Suns win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXPOR
112.6
Points scored / game
115.5
111.1
Points allowed / game
115.8
45.6 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
31.9 %
3-point %
38.9 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
73.9 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
46.3
25.3
Assists / game
30.7
8.7
Steals / game
8.3
5.3
Blocks / game
2.7
14.0
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Suns
Devin BookerG · #1523pts / game
Jalen GreenG · #43assists
Khaman MaluachC · #106rebounds
Trail Blazers
Damian LillardG · #025pts / game
Ja MorantG · #18assists
Deni AvdijaF · #810rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHXPOR
0-1Record1-0
112.6Points scored / game115.5
111.1Points allowed / game115.8
+1.2Adjusted margin / game-0.2
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
45-37 (+1.5)Last season42-40 (-0.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.