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Pacers vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 21

FinalSmoothie King Center · NBA League Pass, DAZN IND, GCSEN, Pelicans.com
34% win INDwin NO 66%
FavoriteNO
Projected margin5.3
Projected total234
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New Orleans Pelicans host the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday, October 21 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 123 – Pelicans 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pelicans a 66% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pelicans, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 120 – 114 Pacers, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Pelicans and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pelicans' offense (115.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pelicans
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NO -3.8 / IND -6.8 per game
+3.0
Home-court advantagePelicans at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pelicans
+5.3

Scenarios

Pelicans win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Pacers win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

INDNO
112.4
Points scored / game
115.5
120.4
Points allowed / game
120.0
47.1 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
31.2 %
3-point %
29.0 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
31.0
72.7 %
Free throw %
83.6 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
44.3
29.4
Assists / game
23.5
6.4
Steals / game
12.3
4.8
Blocks / game
4.8
14.8
Turnovers / game
16.5

Top performers

Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4330pts / game
Tyrese HaliburtonG · #012assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4015rebounds
Pelicans
Dejounte MurrayG · #523pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #57assists
Yves MissiC · #2114rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
NO
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

IND lead 1-0 this season.

Team comparison

INDNO
1-0Record0-1
112.4Points scored / game115.5
120.4Points allowed / game120.0
-6.8Adjusted margin / game-3.8
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
19-63 (-8.0)Last season26-56 (-4.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.