Thunder vs Clippers prediction NBA · Friday, November 13
At a glance
The LA Clippers (1-3) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (4-1) on Friday, November 13 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Thunder a 65% chance to win and projects a 112-107 score (Thunder – Clippers), about 219 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the Thunder are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 4-1 for the Thunder (current streaks: Clippers L3, Thunder L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jalen Williams (Thunder), Alex Caruso (Thunder), Thomas Sorber (Thunder), Nikola Topic (Thunder), Cason Wallace (Thunder) and Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Thunder are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Clippers 107 – 112 Thunder, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 219 points. Expect a tighter, lower-scoring game. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The Thunder will be without Jalen Williams or Alex Caruso (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs +7.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (115.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCLAC
Players to watch
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #226.0pts / game
Alex CarusoG · #93.8assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #559.6reboundsClippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsRecent form
OKC
116-104W
96-84W
108-101W
125-114L
120-96LAC122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| OKC | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 1-3 |
| 115.8 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 106.9 | Points allowed / game | 111.5 |
| +7.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| L1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 64-18 (+11.1) | Last season | 42-40 (+1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.