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Knicks vs Pacers prediction NBA · Friday, November 13

Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ETGainbridge Fieldhouse · Prime Video
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
2-3 · away
Projected score
118-108
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
2-3 · home
79% win NYwin IND 21%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin9.9
Projected total226
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (2-3) host the New York Knicks (2-3) on Friday, November 13 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Knicks a 79% chance to win and projects a 118-108 score (Knicks – Pacers), about 226 total points. This season, the Pacers are 0-2 at home and the Knicks are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Pacers and 2-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Pacers L2, Knicks W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 23% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jose Alvarado (Knicks), Ivica Zubac (Pacers), T.J. McConnell (Pacers), Ben Sheppard (Pacers), Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) and Johnny Furphy (Pacers). Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

The Knicks start with a clear edge. The model projects Pacers 108 – 118 Knicks, a margin of about 9.9 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pacers will be without Ivica Zubac or T.J. McConnell (and 3 others). The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.7 vs +3.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -4.7 / NY +3.8 per game
-8.6
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
InjuriesIND: 5 out, 2 questionable · NY: 1 out, 0 questionable
-3.6
Expected marginfor Pacers
-9.9

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
6%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
Knicks win by 10+
50%

Stat comparison Current season

NYIND
114.5
Points scored / game
113.2
110.0
Points allowed / game
118.8
42.2 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
35.9 %
3-point %
31.2 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
75.8 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
44.0
26.8
Assists / game
29.4
7.2
Steals / game
6.4
4.4
Blocks / game
4.8
14.8
Turnovers / game
14.8

Players to watch

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8rebounds
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4324.0pts / game
Tyrese HaliburtonG · #09.5assists
Ivica ZubacC · #409.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
LPHI106-100LBOS107-103LORL111-102WDET111-97WCHI133-127
IND
WNO123-120LDAL121-105WBKN136-109LMIL110-102LPHI114-109

Head-to-head

3 meetings scheduled this season.

Nov 13NYthis gameINDNov 22INDupcomingNYApr 11INDupcomingNY

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
NY 79% · IND 21%
ESPN BPI
NY 66% · IND 34%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

NYIND
2-3Record2-3
114.5Points scored / game113.2
110.0Points allowed / game118.8
+3.8Adjusted margin / game-4.7
W2Current streakL2
2-3Last 10 games2-3
1-1 roadHome / road record0-2 home
53-29 (+6.3)Last season19-63 (-8.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

Jose Alvarado GOut

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

Ivica Zubac COut
T.J. McConnell GOut
Ben Sheppard GOut
Tyrese Haliburton GOut
Johnny Furphy GOut
Andrew Nembhard GDay-To-Day
Aaron Nesmith GDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.