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Timberwolves vs Bulls prediction NBA · Friday, October 16

FinalUnited Center · DAZN MIN
65% win MINwin CHI 35%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin5.0
Projected total235
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls host the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday, October 16 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 116 – Bulls 133. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 65% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bulls 115 – 120 Timberwolves, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.4 vs +2.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -4.4 / MIN +2.9 per game
-7.3
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-5.0

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
12%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Timberwolves win by 10+
34%

Stat comparison Current season

MINCHI
118.0
Points scored / game
116.3
114.6
Points allowed / game
121.5
47.3 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
38.4 %
3-point %
27.6 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
62.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
44.8
27.0
Assists / game
24.4
9.2
Steals / game
9.0
4.4
Blocks / game
4.8
16.2
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Timberwolves
Isaiah EvansF · #3321pts / game
Zyon PullinG · #1510assists
Drew TimmeF7rebounds
Bulls
Caleb WilsonF · #816pts / game
Tre JonesG · #305assists
Caleb WilsonF · #87rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Team comparison

MINCHI
3-3Record3-2
118.0Points scored / game116.3
114.6Points allowed / game121.5
+2.9Adjusted margin / game-4.4
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
49-33 (+3.4)Last season31-51 (-5.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.