Bulls vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Saturday, November 14
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (3-2) host the Chicago Bulls (1-4) on Saturday, November 14 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Timberwolves a 91% chance to win and projects a 108-125 score (Bulls – Timberwolves), about 232 total points. This season, the Timberwolves are 1-1 at home and the Bulls are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Timberwolves and 1-4 for the Bulls (current streaks: Timberwolves L2, Bulls L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 13% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Bulls played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Patrick Williams (Bulls), Nic Claxton (Bulls), Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) and Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves). Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
The Timberwolves start with a clear edge. The model projects Timberwolves 125 – 108 Bulls, a margin of about 16.9 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Bulls played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards or Donte DiVincenzo. The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton.
- The overall strength gap (+5.2 vs -7.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHIMIN
Players to watch
Bulls
Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists
Jalen SmithF · #258.2reboundsTimberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #533.2pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #16.6assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712.2reboundsRecent form
CHI
135-92W
132-125L
124-120L
134-99L
133-127MIN
131-106W
115-93W117-94L
127-125 OTL
119-114
CHI
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| CHI | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 3-2 |
| 115.6 | Points scored / game | 118.7 |
| 124.1 | Points allowed / game | 112.6 |
| -7.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.2 |
| L3 | Current streak | L2 |
| 1-4 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 1-2 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 31-51 (-5.2) | Last season | 49-33 (+3.4) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bulls
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.