Suns vs Bulls prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 7
FinalUnited Center · Suns Live
61% win PHXwin CHI 39%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin3.4
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium
At a glance
The Chicago Bulls host the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday, October 7 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 117 – Bulls 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 61% chance to win: prediction missed.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Suns, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bulls 114 – 117 Suns, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-4.4 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bulls' offense (116.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -4.4 / PHX +1.2 per game
-5.7
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-3.4
Scenarios
Bulls win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Suns win by 10+
30%
Stat comparison Current season
PHXCHI
112.6116.3
111.1121.5
45.6 %42.1 %
31.9 %27.6 %
39.742.0
73.9 %78.6 %
39.744.8
25.324.4
8.79.0
5.34.8
14.017.8
Top performers
Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #324pts / game
Khaman MaluachC · #104assistsKhaman MaluachC · #107reboundsBulls
Caleb WilsonF · #815pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #37assists
Tobe AwakaF · #1911reboundsRecent form
Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHXNo games played yet.
CHINo games played yet.
CHI
Team comparison
| PHX | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 1-0 |
| 112.6 | Points scored / game | 116.3 |
| 111.1 | Points allowed / game | 121.5 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.4 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 45-37 (+1.5) | Last season | 31-51 (-5.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
No injuries reported.
Injury report Bulls
No injuries reported.
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.