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Pelicans vs Bulls prediction NBA · Sunday, December 14

FinalUnited Center · GCSEN, CHSN
29% win NOwin CHI 71%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin7.0
Projected total237
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (10-14) host the New Orleans Pelicans (4-22) on Sunday, December 14 at 7:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 114 – Bulls 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 71% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bulls are 6-5 at home and the Pelicans are 1-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bulls and 2-8 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Bulls W1, Pelicans W1).

The analysis Model

The Bulls are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 122 – 115 Pelicans, a margin of about 7.0 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-3.2 vs -8.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -3.2 / NO -8.0 per game
+4.7
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
+7.0

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
41%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Pelicans win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

NOCHI
112.8
Points scored / game
117.8
122.2
Points allowed / game
121.6
46.5 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
29.0 %
3-point %
27.6 %
31.0
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
83.6 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
44.8
23.5
Assists / game
24.4
12.3
Steals / game
9.0
4.8
Blocks / game
4.8
16.5
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Pelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2520pts / game
Derik QueenC · #225assists
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2510rebounds
Bulls
Coby WhiteG · #320pts / game
Coby WhiteG · #35assists
Nikola VucevicC · #98rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NO
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NOCHI
4-22Record10-14
112.8Points scored / game117.8
122.2Points allowed / game121.6
-8.0Adjusted margin / game-3.2
W1Current streakW1
2-8Last 10 games2-8
1-10 roadHome / road record6-5 home
21-61 (-9.4)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.