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Bulls vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Monday, November 24

FinalSmoothie King Center · CHSN, NBA League Pass, GCSEN, Pelicans.com
68% win CHIwin NO 32%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin5.7
Projected total235
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New Orleans Pelicans (2-15) host the Chicago Bulls (9-7) on Monday, November 24 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 130 – Pelicans 143. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 68% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pelicans are 1-8 at home and the Bulls are 3-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pelicans and 4-6 for the Bulls (current streaks: Pelicans L9, Bulls W1).

The analysis Model

The Bulls are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pelicans 115 – 120 Bulls, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-9.7 vs -1.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (119.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pelicans
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NO -9.7 / CHI -1.7 per game
-8.0
Home-court advantagePelicans at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pelicans
-5.7

Scenarios

Pelicans win by 10+
10%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Bulls win by 10+
36%

Stat comparison Current season

CHINO
119.5
Points scored / game
109.1
121.5
Points allowed / game
120.5
42.1 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
27.6 %
3-point %
29.0 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
31.0
78.6 %
Free throw %
83.6 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.4
Assists / game
23.5
9.0
Steals / game
12.3
4.8
Blocks / game
4.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
16.5

Top performers

Bulls
Ayo DosunmuG · #1328pts / game
Tre JonesG · #3011assists
Josh GiddeyG · #37rebounds
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #129pts / game
Jose AlvaradoG · #58assists
Yves MissiC · #2114rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
NO
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHINO
9-7Record2-15
119.5Points scored / game109.1
121.5Points allowed / game120.5
-1.7Adjusted margin / game-9.7
W1Current streakL9
4-6Last 10 games1-9
3-5 roadHome / road record1-8 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season21-61 (-9.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.