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Bulls vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Tuesday, October 14

FinalBall Arena · CHSN, NBA League Pass
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
2-2 · away
Final score
117-124
Projected: 115-122
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
3-1 · home
29% win CHIwin DEN 71%
FavoriteDEN
Projected margin6.9
Projected total237
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Denver Nuggets host the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday, October 14 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 117 – Nuggets 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 71% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Nuggets, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nuggets 122 – 115 Bulls, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.3 vs -1.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nuggets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DEN +3.3 / CHI -1.3 per game
+4.6
Home-court advantageNuggets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nuggets
+6.9

Scenarios

Nuggets win by 10+
40%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Bulls win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIDEN
117.8
Points scored / game
120.8
119.4
Points allowed / game
116.9
42.1 %
Field goal %
45.8 %
27.6 %
3-point %
32.8 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.3
78.6 %
Free throw %
79.6 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
44.5
24.4
Assists / game
26.0
9.0
Steals / game
10.0
4.8
Blocks / game
4.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.3

Top performers

Bulls
Josh GiddeyG · #325pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #36assists
Nikola VucevicC · #910rebounds
Nuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2730pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #158assists
Nikola JokicC · #158rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
DEN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CHIDEN
2-2Record3-1
117.8Points scored / game120.8
119.4Points allowed / game116.9
-1.3Adjusted margin / game+3.3
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
39-43 (-1.6)Last season50-32 (+3.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Denver Nuggets Injury report Nuggets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.