Pelicans vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Sunday, April 12
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (48-33) host the New Orleans Pelicans (26-55) on Sunday, April 12 at 8:30 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 126 – Timberwolves 132. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 25-15 at home and the Pelicans are 9-31 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Timberwolves and 1-9 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Timberwolves W1, Pelicans L1).
The analysis Model
The Timberwolves start with a clear edge. The model projects Timberwolves 121 – 112 Pelicans, a margin of about 9.7 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+3.0 vs -4.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOMINTop performers
Pelicans
Jeremiah FearsG · #036pts / gameJeremiah FearsG · #05assists
Derik QueenC · #2222reboundsTimberwolves
Terrence Shannon Jr.G · #426pts / game
Joe InglesF · #710assists
Joan BeringerF · #1913reboundsRecent form
NOMINHead-to-head
MIN lead 3-1 this season.
MIN
Team comparison
| NO | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 | Record | 48-33 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 117.4 |
| 119.8 | Points allowed / game | 113.8 |
| -4.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 9-31 road | Home / road record | 25-15 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.