Pelicans vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Friday, February 6
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (32-20) host the New Orleans Pelicans (13-40) on Friday, February 6 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 119 – Timberwolves 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 84% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Timberwolves are 17-8 at home and the Pelicans are 5-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Timberwolves and 3-7 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Timberwolves W1, Pelicans L3).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Timberwolves dominate this matchup. The model projects Timberwolves 123 – 110 Pelicans, a margin of about 12.4 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.2 vs -6.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (118.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOMINTop performers
Pelicans
Saddiq BeyG · #4130pts / gameSaddiq BeyG · #415assistsSaddiq BeyG · #419reboundsTimberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #535pts / game
Julius RandleF · #307assists
Rudy GobertC · #2716reboundsRecent form
NOMINHead-to-head
MIN lead 3-1 this season.
MIN
Team comparison
| NO | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-40 | Record | 32-20 |
| 113.6 | Points scored / game | 118.6 |
| 120.6 | Points allowed / game | 113.7 |
| -6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.2 |
| L3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 5-21 road | Home / road record | 17-8 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.