Pelicans vs Celtics prediction NBA · Friday, April 10
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (54-26) host the New Orleans Pelicans (26-54) on Friday, April 10 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 118 – Celtics 144. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 28-11 at home and the Pelicans are 9-30 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Celtics and 2-8 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Celtics L1, Pelicans W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 119 – 108 Pelicans, a margin of about 11.4 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+6.6 vs -4.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOBOS
Top performers
Pelicans
Jeremiah FearsG · #036pts / gameJeremiah FearsG · #06assistsCeltics
Sam HauserF · #3024pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #1110assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8810reboundsRecent form
NOBOS
BOS
Team comparison
| NO | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 | Record | 54-26 |
| 114.6 | Points scored / game | 114.7 |
| 119.5 | Points allowed / game | 107.0 |
| -4.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 9-30 road | Home / road record | 28-11 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.