Celtics vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Monday, October 27
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (0-2) host the Boston Celtics (0-3) on Monday, October 27 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 122 – Pelicans 90. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 0-1 at home and the Celtics are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-2 for the Pelicans and 0-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Pelicans L2, Celtics L3).
The analysis Model
The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Pelicans 108 – 117 Celtics, a margin of about 8.8 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-7.5 vs +5.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (114.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSNO
Top performers
Celtics
Anfernee SimonsG · #525pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #118assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8811rebounds
Pelicans
Jordan PooleG · #322pts / game
Trey Murphy IIIF · #255assists
Yves MissiC · #217reboundsRecent form
BOS
NOTeam comparison
| BOS | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 0-2 |
| 114.6 | Points scored / game | 111.1 |
| 108.5 | Points allowed / game | 119.9 |
| +5.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.5 |
| L3 | Current streak | L2 |
| 0-3 | Last 10 games | 0-2 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
BOS