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Timberwolves vs Magic prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 8

FinalKia Center · FanDuel SN FL, FanDuel SN North, NBA League Pass
47% win MINwin ORL 53%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin0.9
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (43-36) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (47-32) on Wednesday, April 8 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 120 – Magic 132. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 25-16 at home and the Timberwolves are 22-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Magic and 5-5 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Magic W3, Timberwolves W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Magic 114 – 113 Timberwolves, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Timberwolves played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.2 / MIN +3.1 per game
-3.0
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTimberwolves played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Magic
+0.9

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Timberwolves win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

MINORL
117.1
Points scored / game
114.2
113.4
Points allowed / game
114.0
47.3 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
38.4 %
3-point %
31.4 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
62.7 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
41.3
27.0
Assists / game
26.0
9.2
Steals / game
7.8
4.4
Blocks / game
4.5
16.2
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Timberwolves
Terrence Shannon Jr.G · #433pts / game
Terrence Shannon Jr.G · #45assists
Joan BeringerF · #198rebounds
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #520pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #56assists
Goga BitadzeC · #3515rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ORL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

MINORL
47-32Record43-36
117.1Points scored / game114.2
113.4Points allowed / game114.0
+3.1Adjusted margin / game+0.2
W1Current streakW3
5-5Last 10 games5-5
22-17 roadHome / road record25-16 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.